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#289684 - 07/07/16 09:39 AM
Re: Campaign 2016
[Re: pdx rick]
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old hand
Registered: 08/06/05
Posts: 6387
Loc: New York
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I could do without the threads.  But the song is cool.
_________________________
"The liberals can understand everything but people who don't understand them." Lenny Bruce
"The cleverest of all, in my opinion, is the man who calls himself a fool at least once a month." Dostoevsky
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#289692 - 07/07/16 02:21 PM
Re: Campaign 2016
[Re: Scoutgal]
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old hand
Registered: 08/06/05
Posts: 6387
Loc: New York
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Nothing new. Correct application of random and stratified sampling as well as competent machine learning. I started working with that in the early 90s. And, as is the case with all probabilistic modeling, it is very often wrong when the assumptions are wrong. The only thing new is that with today's hardware, Monte Carlo simulation is much faster and the random number generators are more efficient. So, it is possible to get results faster and more accurately than in the past. And of course big data - storage, collection and analysis is faster and easier.
Edited by Ezekiel (07/07/16 02:26 PM)
_________________________
"The liberals can understand everything but people who don't understand them." Lenny Bruce
"The cleverest of all, in my opinion, is the man who calls himself a fool at least once a month." Dostoevsky
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#289696 - 07/07/16 05:37 PM
Re: Campaign 2016
[Re: Ezekiel]
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Member
Carpal Tunnel
Registered: 05/09/05
Posts: 41128
Loc: Puget Sound, WA
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I could do without the threads.  But the song is cool. Notice that the lyrics overemphasize "...and I'm gonna be high...and I'm gonna be high...and I'm gonna be higher than a kite by then." It's the special Dance Club version of the track. X-cellent 
_________________________
Contrarian, extraordinaire
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#289701 - 07/07/16 08:36 PM
Re: Campaign 2016
[Re: NW Ponderer]
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old hand
Registered: 03/18/03
Posts: 6645
Loc: Highlands, Tx
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I don't know whether to be inspired or very scared i have always thought those kind of responses are strange. I see it as simply another evolutionary step in data analysis. Now if one of those guys used a crystal ball ...
_________________________
ignorance is the enemy without equality there is no liberty
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#289813 - 07/12/16 12:40 AM
Re: Campaign 2016
[Re: pondering_it_all]
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veteran
Registered: 04/26/10
Posts: 8942
Loc: New Mexico (not old Mexico)
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_________________________
"You can't fix a problem until you understand what the problem is." Logtroll
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#289818 - 07/12/16 09:30 AM
Re: Campaign 2016
[Re: logtroll]
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old hand
Registered: 08/06/05
Posts: 6387
Loc: New York
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It's sounds like the guy/gal who gets married and then realizes he/she ain't what they thought. So you start to justify your mistake. Rationalizing away the obvious. Hillary has a record. It hasn't been the best of records, but like all politicians (human beings) it has high points and low points. And I don't give a shyte what she's like personally. She could be the nicest person or a mean ahole. Makes no nevermind. The only thing that matters is what she will do once she's in office. And that remains to be seen. Klein is not exactly an impartial observer. So I take his opinion with a grain of salt.
_________________________
"The liberals can understand everything but people who don't understand them." Lenny Bruce
"The cleverest of all, in my opinion, is the man who calls himself a fool at least once a month." Dostoevsky
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