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#306127 - 03/26/18 04:21 AM Re: High Schoolers acting out [Re: jgw]
NW Ponderer Offline
Moderator
Carpal Tunnel

Registered: 09/09/11
Posts: 16453
I am going to make a confession: After watching the March for our Lives and the news coverage over the weekend, this is the most optimistic I have been since the election. The energy of the Women's March was, I think, a spur to the #MeToo movement. I believe that the #NeverAgain movement is going to have a similar impact. Both of those events are going to add to the tsunami building toward the 2018 midterms. Just today another GOP Representative announced he was dropping out of the race - Rep. Ryan Costello will drop bid for reelection in Pennsylvania - CNN. "Costello is the 39th Republican lawmaker to announce his retirement from Congress." Costello is at least the 7th Pennsylvania Republican to drop out. I'm hoping for about a hundred more.
_________________________
A well reasoned argument is like a diamond: impervious to corruption and crystal clear - and infinitely rarer.

Here, as elsewhere, people are outraged at what feels like a rigged game -- an economy that won't respond, a democracy that won't listen, and a financial sector that holds all the cards. - Robert Reich

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#306129 - 03/26/18 05:10 AM Re: High Schoolers acting out [Re: jgw]
pondering_it_all Offline
veteran

Registered: 02/27/06
Posts: 8157
Loc: North San Diego County
Now that they don't have gerrymandered districts anymore, I guess things are looking bleak.

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#306130 - 03/26/18 06:17 PM Re: High Schoolers acting out [Re: jgw]
jgw Offline
enthusiast

Registered: 05/22/06
Posts: 2241
Loc: Port Angeles, WA
The GOP is now whining about how the new districts favor the Dems. I watched Costello note how unfair it all is. What they are actually saying is that the new districts do not favor them, are fairly drawn, whilst putting a slightly different, GOP, twist on it. I would guess that they also failed int heir attempt to recall the state supremes that made the ruling.

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#306135 - 03/26/18 10:19 PM Re: High Schoolers acting out [Re: jgw]
pondering_it_all Offline
veteran

Registered: 02/27/06
Posts: 8157
Loc: North San Diego County
I predict a rout in Pennsylvania. Everybody hates a sore loser. Add that to Democrats polling about 10 percentage points ahead and that equals massive defeat.
_________________________
“Socialism never took root in America because the poor see themselves not as an exploited proletariat but as temporarily embarrassed millionaires.”

John Steinbeck

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#306138 - 03/27/18 01:32 AM Re: High Schoolers acting out [Re: jgw]
Spag-hetti Offline
member

Registered: 09/10/08
Posts: 1662
Loc: Middle, USA
I don't know how many times I teared up while watching the March for Our Lives.

When that one girl threw up on stage and then said something like, "I just threw up on national television and it feels great!" and then gave a helluva energetic speech, I was absolutely amazed. It wasn't about her; it was about her mission.

As amazing as that whole deal was, I'm imagining what they might do when school's out. And humming a little Al Cooper while I do.
_________________________
Just a Missouri school teacher ... stubborn as a mule and addicted to logic.

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#306142 - 03/27/18 03:06 AM Re: High Schoolers acting out [Re: Spag-hetti]
Greger Offline

Pooh-Bah

Registered: 11/24/06
Posts: 14483
Loc: Florida

Quote:
I don't know how many times I teared up while watching the March for Our Lives.

The kids are allowing us, just for a moment, to feel young and hopeful again. I expect their hopes, and ours, will be dashed soon enough on the rocks of reality. But I'm still guardedly optimistic about the midterms.
_________________________
"Be yourself; everyone else is already taken."— Oscar Wilde

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#306145 - 03/27/18 08:33 AM Re: High Schoolers acting out [Re: Greger]
NW Ponderer Offline
Moderator
Carpal Tunnel

Registered: 09/09/11
Posts: 16453
I did note that in the last Pennsylvania special election every single precinct, whether traditionally blue or red, swung left. Now, that was just in three counties, and some remained Republican, but even in solidly Republican precincts the dems gained significantly. It will only take a 7% swing to take the House, a 17% swing would be a bloodbath despite gerrymandering.

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#306158 - 03/27/18 09:57 PM Re: High Schoolers acting out [Re: jgw]
pondering_it_all Offline
veteran

Registered: 02/27/06
Posts: 8157
Loc: North San Diego County
Even in states where there is heavy gerrymandering, they can have a massive failure: Gerrymandering strives to NOT create "safe" districts, but rather to spread their voters out into multiple districts and put all their opponents into a few districts. They try for about a 5% majority in "their" districts. But when you are so unpopular that you are running 10% behind, that 5% loses and you lose nearly every district. If things continue like they have been for 7 more months, the House will flip Democratic with very few Republicans left.

I expect to see the same sort of thing in the Senate, but fewer Republicans are running this cycle. Even so, it only takes a few Senators to flip it. If a Democrat can win in Alabama, they can win anywhere.

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#306160 - 03/28/18 02:37 AM Re: High Schoolers acting out [Re: pondering_it_all]
NW Ponderer Offline
Moderator
Carpal Tunnel

Registered: 09/09/11
Posts: 16453
Maybe Mississippi? Mississippi Is Now in Play for Democrats Weekly standard. I don't really believe it, but apparently many in the GOP do...

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#306161 - 03/28/18 06:15 AM Re: High Schoolers acting out [Re: jgw]
pondering_it_all Offline
veteran

Registered: 02/27/06
Posts: 8157
Loc: North San Diego County
White males make up only about 29% of the population in Mississippi. If Democrats can peel off some Republican women, a Democrat could win. I would suggest a good-looking fairly young populist portraying his Republican opponents as allies to the East Coast rich elite.

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