How about those voters who dislike both candidates? I was busy checking the polls for someone else on a different subject, independents to be exact. But this struck me. Voters who dislike or hate both candidates.
In 2016 according to Gallup 25% of all Americans disliked and didnít want neither Trump nor Clinton to become their next president. The dislike factor or the hate factor depending on how oneís view this.https://news.gallup.com/opinion/polling-...candidates.aspx
According to the exit polls, these folks who didnít want neither candidate broke for Trump 47-30 over Clinton. Trumpís favorable back then was at 36%, Hillaryís 38% nationally.
What Iím seeing today using RCP favorable averaging is Trump is up from 36 to 41% nationally, Biden up from Hillary 38% to 44% nationally with those who disliked both candidates down from 25% to 14%. Being this election is a referendum on Trump, I expect those who dislike both candidates to break for Biden this time around instead of going to Trump as they did in 2016. An even split would benefit Biden, but most polls show Biden winning this dislike both candidate group. In 2016, 6% of all Americans voted third party, against Trump and against Hillary Clinton. I donít expect that high of a number in 2020. Probably closer to the normal average of 1.5%. The disliked of both candidates are way down, also instead of polls showing at the end of May 2016 13% stating they would vote third party, at the end of May 2020, only 4% are doing so. Advantage Biden in my book.
Am I reading this right, time will tell.