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#327694 - 07/30/20 05:51 PM Re: Is it too soon to be talking 2020? [Re: pdx rick]
perotista Offline
journeyman

Registered: 09/05/19
Posts: 853
Originally Posted By: pdx rick

Incompetent Trump Campaign writes off Michigan, redirects funds to Texas.

Trump shouldn't have to spend money in Texas. It would be like Biden spending money in California.

One down, two more Rust Belt states to go and we can call 270 before November 3rd.

smile


Top Battleground states

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-biden-top-battleground-states/

Texas

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/tx/texas_trump_vs_biden-6818.html

Georgia

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/ga/georgia_trump_vs_biden-6974.html
_________________________
It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.

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#327698 - 07/30/20 11:51 PM Re: Is it too soon to be talking 2020? [Re: chunkstyle]
pdx rick Offline
Member
CHB-OG

Registered: 05/09/05
Posts: 43301
Loc: Puget Sound, WA

Joe Biden doesn't need Texas or Georgia to win. Joe only needs one of these five scenarios:

1 Michigan, Pennsylvania and Arizona: Biden wins all three states — his best option, given the political environment.
2. Michigan and Pennsylvania + two congressional districts — Nebraska-02 and Maine-02.
3. The Rust Belt: Biden wins Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
4. Michigan and the Sunbelt: Biden carries Michigan, Arizona and North Carolina.
5. Florida +1: Biden carries Florida, getting him to 261 electoral votes. A win in any of the other battleground states would put him well past 270.

smile
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#327701 - 07/31/20 03:59 AM Re: Is it too soon to be talking 2020? [Re: chunkstyle]
rporter314 Offline
veteran

Registered: 03/18/03
Posts: 7281
Loc: Highlands, Tx
What about if it rains on the Wednesday before election day? I am often reminded of
"The best laid schemes o' mice an' men
Gang aft a-gley." - Burns

I would never bet on a plan which had more moving parts than the sum of my two eyes and one nose.

Something of interest ... The proverbial Oct Surprise.
What if Mr Trump buys all the vaccine from Russia and claims victory or just claims victory because there will be a future vaccine. Sen Johnson proclaims VP Biden s guilty of corruption based on Russian intelligence. Rep Nunes backs him up with evidence sent by corrupt Ukrainians tied to Putin. O and the old standby .... there is proof of voter fraud but they can not show it to the American people before the election. And if you want to get really bizarre .... the election is fake news because Mr Trump was elected president for life.
_________________________
ignorance is the enemy
without equality there is no liberty
Get off the crazy train!!! ... dump Trump

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#327703 - 07/31/20 04:23 AM Re: Is it too soon to be talking 2020? [Re: chunkstyle]
pondering_it_all Offline
veteran

Registered: 02/27/06
Posts: 10359
Loc: North San Diego County
Giant meteor to hit Earth on election day: You should spend the days before digging as deep a shelter as you can in your backyard. Personally, I don't care. I don't get to have a polling place because my district is too small. We've been voting by mail for 20 years.

And when Trump says "absentee voting" is great, but "voting by mail" is bad, WTH is he trying to express? Those are identical. Is there some kind of racial dog whistle embedded in there?

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#327704 - 07/31/20 04:33 AM Re: Is it too soon to be talking 2020? [Re: pondering_it_all]
Irked Offline
enthusiast

Registered: 12/14/05
Posts: 3559
Loc: Somewhere out in left field
Absentee voting is what snow birds and the military do, you know, Real ‘Mericuns. Mail-in-voting is what liberals and communists do to pervert an election. Everyone knows that.
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Coulda tripped out easy, but I've changed my ways - Donovan

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#327706 - 07/31/20 12:40 PM Re: Is it too soon to be talking 2020? [Re: pdx rick]
perotista Offline
journeyman

Registered: 09/05/19
Posts: 853
Originally Posted By: pdx rick

Joe Biden doesn't need Texas or Georgia to win. Joe only needs one of these five scenarios:

1 Michigan, Pennsylvania and Arizona: Biden wins all three states — his best option, given the political environment.
2. Michigan and Pennsylvania + two congressional districts — Nebraska-02 and Maine-02.
3. The Rust Belt: Biden wins Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
4. Michigan and the Sunbelt: Biden carries Michigan, Arizona and North Carolina.
5. Florida +1: Biden carries Florida, getting him to 261 electoral votes. A win in any of the other battleground states would put him well past 270.

smile


True, but with Biden leading in all those states, some by 5 or more points along with the closeness of Texas and Georgia, all States Trump won in 2016. That shows Trump is in deep doo doo to use an old G.H.W. Bush phrase.

Looking at state polling, if we went by who leads today, it's Biden 352, Trump 186. That total is with Trump still winning both Texas and Georgia. You're absolutely correct, Biden doesn't need either state. But the closeness of those two states speaks volumes to a numbers guy like me.
_________________________
It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.

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#327707 - 07/31/20 12:44 PM Re: Is it too soon to be talking 2020? [Re: chunkstyle]
perotista Offline
journeyman

Registered: 09/05/19
Posts: 853
"There Is No Evidence That Voting By Mail Gives One Party An Advantage"

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the...y-an-advantage/
_________________________
It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.

Top
#327708 - 07/31/20 04:46 PM Re: Is it too soon to be talking 2020? [Re: chunkstyle]
jgw Online   content
enthusiast

Registered: 05/22/06
Posts: 3611
Loc: Port Angeles, WA
This is the beginning of Trump's plan to never leave. I have no doubt at that. My real problem is whether he is going to succeed or not. We know he has his own Gestapo in ICE (tested in Portland), white supremists (currently working hard at looting, and otherwise co-opting BLM marches), and 40% of the voting public (completely deluded). This is a bit more than Hitler had when he took over. Hopefully the military are not in his pocket.

These are very scary times. By the time the vote happens there will be millions of pissed off evicted on the streets (HIS senate is assuring, so far, this one by making sure everybody gets evicted due to no money to pay rent or mortgage).

Interesting times!


Edited by jgw (07/31/20 05:15 PM)

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#327713 - 07/31/20 07:35 PM Re: Is it too soon to be talking 2020? [Re: chunkstyle]
pdx rick Offline
Member
CHB-OG

Registered: 05/09/05
Posts: 43301
Loc: Puget Sound, WA

I just had a thought: What if McConnell's slow-walk to help Americans is really purposeful so that many are evicted and their lives are so upended they don't have a chance to vote in November 2020?

Hmm
_________________________
Contrarian, extraordinaire



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#327714 - 07/31/20 07:38 PM Re: Is it too soon to be talking 2020? [Re: chunkstyle]
perotista Offline
journeyman

Registered: 09/05/19
Posts: 853
Ever think Kansas could go Democratic.

"Republicans and White House at Odds Over Kansas Senate Race"

https://www.yahoo.com/news/republicans-white-house-odds-over-121106014.html

Okay, the GOP primary isn't until Tuesday, but the two latest polls betweeen Kris Kobach vs. Barbara Boilier show basically a tie. Boiler leads in one 41-40 with Kobach the leaders in the other 44-43. Not much to go on, two polls, but very interesting. Especially for Kansas.

FYI, Trump has an 11 point lead in Kansas. So Biden isn't going to win there. But the idea of a Democratic senator coming from Kansas of all places, that makes one wonder. Then again, Alabama just sent a Democrat to the senate two years ago in Doug Jones. Strange happenings all over the political election map.
_________________________
It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.

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