Quote:
there is no logical reason to believe that Covid19 will be a memory by November.


Agreed: We flatten the curve so the bad cases do not overwhelm our medical resources. This makes the fatality rate much lower. But it also makes the curve a lot longer, because there are all those people in tight quarantine who avoided it in the first wave. When they do finally come out, many of them will catch it. The communicability is so high, R0 depends on our isolation. The pool for infection consists only of people who are out and about. When more people join that pool, R0 will shoot up.

The only good thing about that is when Trump's fans follow his proclamation and go out to party, a bunch get sick and hopefully realize his gut is leading them right off a cliff.