My thoughts are speculative and I am not sure about any of it. I used to be, then I went to predictit.org with ten dollars, I won some, lost some, and, in the end I lost it all. It was productive in that I learned that, basically, I didn't know sh*t (I was terribly upset for at least 5 minutes!)

I just don't do real good with prognostication (but do kinda admire that word). It would be interesting to rate prognostications here and see how good everybody's abilities in this regard. If somebody is right all the time we can all get rich!

I, for one, am holding my breath and would be delighted if somebody came along who could really do it!