Coach potatoes, yeah. Yes, Democrats are famous for sitting out midterms. But that again is kind of a misnomer if that's the right word. Usually whenever a candidate wins the presidency that was held by the other party, the new president's party seems to be less energetic to get out and vote. The incentive was there to get rid of the president of the other party, that mission was accomplished. So the midterms doesn't provide the incentive that the presidential election did.
sure, both major parties have coach potatoes, but independents make up the majority of them. Independents made up 38% of the electorate in 2020, but only 26% of those who actually voted. Democrats made up 31%, but 37% of those who voted vs. republicans which made up 30% and 35% of those who voted. Understandable that independents wouldn't bother, they don't have a horse in the race. Republicans and democrats do, they own the horses. Independents are just fans, some avid, some fair weather, some who just plain don't like politics or don't care. The Democrats which had a plus 1 party advantage, had a plus 2 among those who voted.
2018 was another good turnout for the Democrats, from a plus 3 in party affiliation to a plus 6 among those who actually voted. The dislike of Trump was probably the main reason along with 2018 being the midterm for Republicans who accomplished their mission of replacing Obama with a Republican.
The out of power party usually has more incentive to vote in the midterms than the party that hold power and or the presidency.
Rubio, incumbent, yes he has to be a slight favorite. Florida is interesting as it went for Trump twice, for Obama twice, for G.W. Bush twice, Bill Clinton in 1996 and G.H.W. Bush in 1992. No pattern there. Until recently, Florida had a history of having a senator from each party. So perhaps, Florida could go back to having a senator from each party.
Last edited by perotista; 05/22/21 12:26 AM.