That's been pretty much the historical average. 6% of one party voting for the other party's presidential candidate. 92% of Republicans and Democrats, both parties historically vote for their party's presidential candidates.

We had 94% of both Republicans and Democrats vote for their candidates in 2020.
2016 was a bit off skelter as 89% of Democrats voted for Clinton, 88% of Republicans for Trump. 8% of both parties voted for the other party's candidate
2012 it was 93% of Republicans voting for Romney, 92% of Democrats voting for Obama
.
2008 it was 89% of democrats voting for Obama and 90% of Republicans for McCain.

You can take that way back, but 92% is the average. That is if you don't count 1992 and 1996 as Perot threw those numbers out the window.

So political party wise, 2020 was pretty average when it came to how the members of the two parties vote. The major difference was independents going for Biden 54-41 when they had gone for Trump in 2016 46-42 with 12% voting third party against both major party candidates. That's a 17 point swing, from a plus 4 to a minus 13 for Trump in back to back presidential election years.

staying with independents, we had a 12 point swing from 1996 to 2000 from democrat/Bill Clinton to Republican/G.W. Bush. but all of that pales to the 28 point swing from 1988 to 1992 from plus 14 points republican/Bush to minus 14 points republican or a plus 14 for Bill Clinton.

One never knows how independents will come down or how many will switch. The two major parties are steady as a rock, independents are all over the place. Even during the midterms independents fluctuate wildly. From independents voting 57-39 for Democratic congressional candidate in 2006 to independents voting 56-37 for Republican congressional candidates in 2010. That's going from a plus 18 for Democrats, 2006 to a minus 19 for Democrats in 2010. A swing of 37 points in a four year period.

Last edited by perotista; 06/16/21 07:28 PM.

It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.