I think if the GOP is going to have any success in the 2022 midterms, they must get beyond Trump. From all the numbers I've been able to scan, what's holding the fragile coalition of a slight majority of Independents with the Democratic Party is Trump.

If Trump were to disappear, one would expect historical precedence to show its head. With independents that is usually aligning themselves with the party out of power during the midterms. Trump so far has negated that as close to 60% of independents don't like him. Here's the midterm votes and breakdown for independents.

2018 54-42 Democratic, Democrats gain 44 house seats and 3 senate seats regaining control of congress.
2014 54-42 Republican, Republicans regain the senate with a net gain of 9 seats and add 13 house seats
2010 56-37 Republican, Republicans gain 63 house seats and regain control of the house
2006 57-39 Democratic, Democrats regain congress, the GOP loses 33 house seats and 6 senate seats.

It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.