Speaking of winning with 2022 around the corner. August was a bad month for Biden and the Democrats.
Biden’s overall job approval/disapproval numbers:
1 Aug 51.3% approval, 45.9% disapproval/31 Aug 46.3% approval, 48.6% disapproval
Generic congressional vote
1 Aug Democrats 48% Republican 41% D plus 7/31 Aug Democrats 46% Republicans 44% D plus 2.
Direction of the Country, right track/wrong track
1 Aug right track 40%, wrong track 53%/31 Aug right track 30%, wrong track 61%
Now I wouldn’t blame all of this on Afghanistan, although Afghanistan was the wake up call which meant Biden not being Trump isn’t enough for the voters anymore. Especially independents. The honeymoon is finally over after 6 months. Other issues that have also fallen in August.
Immigration 1 Aug 42% approve, 54% disapprove/31 Aug 34% approve, 57% disapprove
COVID 1 Aug 62% approve, 38% disapprove/31 Aug 53% approve, 43% disapprove
Economy 1 Aug 55% approve, 45% disapprove/31 Aug 46% approve, 49% disapprovehttps://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president-biden-job-approval-7320.html
My take on this, if one is to have a bad month, 14 months out before the election is the time to have it. Plenty of time to rebound. Even with the bad month of August, the senate still looks like the Democrats will gain 1-3 seats. Mainly because of Republican retirements which will leave 4 open seats. No retirements yet for the Democrats. Predictions on the House is useless until redistricting is completed. All I’ll say there is midterms haven’t been kind to the party that holds the presidency. Only once since 1934 has the party who holds the presidency gained seats. 2002 when the GOP gained 8. Those are extremely high odds for the Democrats retaining the house since the GOP needs a net gain of only 5 seats to take control. The odds aren’t zero, since it’s been done once since 1934. Probably in the single digits though. Just a SWAG.