Trump vs. Harris, 2024. Interesting. Just by looking at the independent voter favorable/unfavorable views of these two as of 28 Sep 2021, Trump would probably win the independent vote if the election were held today. Harris is viewed favorably by 31% of independents, unfavorably by 60%. Independents aren’t political junkies, they tend to vote on their perceptions, likes and dislikes of the candidates. Harris just rubs them the wrong way and always has, even in the Democratic Primaries of 2020.

Trump on the other hand, also has never been liked or viewed favorably by independents. But Trump gets his best marks among independents today than he ever has going back to 2016. 42% of independents view Trump favorably, 53% unfavorably. That’s his lowest unfavorable among independents ever. 57% of independents viewed him unfavorable in Nov 2016, 61% in Nov 2018, 60% Nov 2020

I suppose everyone has their own reasons for Trump’s lowering of independents unfavorable view of him. I tend to think it’s because Trump isn’t out there twittering everyday to remind independents why they disliked him so much. He’s been basically out of the news. The old saying, out of sight, out of mind seems to apply. But this is only a SWAG. He’s ancient history to most independents. They wanted him gone, Trump’s gone, mission accomplished. Now they’re focused on Biden and company, beginning in August anyway as independents gave Biden a six-month honeymoon just for not being Trump. Trump, he’s become distant memory today for independents.

Having said this, I do think if Trump runs for the presidency in 2024, he’ll remind independents why they disliked him so much while he was president and his unfavorable’s will shoot right back up there in the 60% range. But 2024, a Harris/Trump matchup could be another 2016 rerun where a majority of independents disliked and didn’t want neither Trump nor Clinton to become the next president. 54% to be exact. Final results for 2016 of the independent vote, 46% Trump, 42% Clinton, 12% third party, a vote against both.

My solution, Tammy Duckworth 2024. A fresh young face from flyover country much like Obama in 2008 and Bill Clinton in 1992.

It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.