Both parties come up with their own nominees and in both cases, do so without any thought to how 40% of the electorate will view their candidate. That 40% being independents. We do live in an era where independents decide national elections, not either party's base.
In 2016 I thought the Republicans blew it big time when they nominated Trump. They had Rubio and Kasich, well liked and looked favorably on by independents. Yet they nominated someone in which 57% of independents disliked. Sure the Democratic candidate would trounce Trump like there was no tomorrow. Then the Democrats come up with Clinton, that left me scratching my head. What was a trouncing in the making became a horse race to the finish.
Ah, then 2020. It looked like the Democrats learned a valuable lesson from 2016. Biden was liked by independents and that showed in their final vote tally for him 54-41 over Trump. Now it seems the Democrats are talking about Harris as their 2024 nominee. Once again I'll scratch my head wondering did the Democrats really learn anything from 2016?
I hope Greger is correct.