jgw, most governor races are unique to the state and have little to do with national politics. Massachusetts and Maryland have elected Republican governors and Kansas a Democratic one. Youngkin kept his campaign about local issues, McAuliffe tried to make it national and all about Trump. I don't know who'll win, but I do know going by the poll numbers, it seems independents for the most part have switched from voting democratic last year to republican this year.
I wouldn't, I don't put much stock in governor races being a harbinger of what will happen in the midterms. They're pretty much local. What I have done is look at the 66 redrawn districts for next years midterms. The rest haven't been drawn yet. But out of the 66, you have just 3 that look competitive, all three are Democrats.
The senate remains basically the same, GOP held PA and WI leaning Democratic, GOP NC a pure tossup. Democratic held NH now leaning Republican, Democratic GA, another pure tossup. Democratic held AZ could join the competitive list as could Republican held FL.
As for foot in mouth, yeah, the democrats seem fairly good at that. Here's another good article from Politico.
Not it: Democrats dodge blame for stalled agenda as McAuliffe teetershttps://www.politico.com/news/2021/11/02/dems-blame-stalled-agenda-mcauliffe-518439