I’d say Trump never had a legislative agenda, outside of his tax cuts that I remember. In that aspect, he really wasn’t hobbled his last two years. Trump had no agenda. Now Obama was different. He succeeded with the ACA, but that success stopped dead anything else in his last six. Obama spent most of his last six years stopping numerous repeal attempts by the Republicans. Outside of executive orders, one can say Obama accomplished nothing his last six. Legislative wise that is. 2024, I think it all depends on who the Democrats nominate. I haven’t seen any national polls on DeSantis favorable/unfavorable. Probably too early.
Heck, I’m too busy trying to get my head around the 2022 midterms than to jump ahead to 2024 and beyond. No one I know of foresaw the tumble Biden and company would take from 1-30 August. I never seen that coming. There can be an upswing just as quick. Although right now inflation, rising prices are working against that upswing no matter what legislation success he and the Democratic controlled congress have. Too many people vote on the thinness or thickness of their wallets.
Here's the latest poll, 19 Nov 2021 on the Florida governor’s and senate races next year.
If the 2022 election for Governor of Florida were held today, and the candidates were Republican Ron DeSantis and Democrat Charlie Crist, who would you vote for?
Ron DeSantis: 50.6%
Charlie Crist: 44.8%
If the 2022 election for Governor of Florida were held today, and the candidates were Republican Ron DeSantis and Democrat Nikki Fried, who would you vote for?
Ron DeSantis: 51.2%
Nikki Fried: 42.3%
If the 2022 election for U.S. Senator from Florida were held today, and the candidates were Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Val Demings, who would you vote for?
Marco Rubio: 51.0%
Val Demings: 44.3%
Undecided: 4.7% http://stpetepolls.org/files/StPetePolls_2021_State_November19_CY8V2D.pdf